Himal Cricket
NPL 2025 · Match 2 · KY v CRResult

Karnali Yaks v Chitwan Rhinos

Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur

Chitwan Rhinos won by 4 wickets

Chitwan Rhinos won the toss and chose to bowl.

Player of the matchRavi Bopara

Chitwan Rhinos (171/6) beat Karnali Yaks (166/3) by 4 wickets in Match 2 of Nepal Premier League 2025 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Tue 18 Nov 2025. Priyank Panchal top-scored with 90 off 48 balls, Sompal Kami took 2/33 and Ravi Bopara was player of the match.

Updated

Karnali Yaks scored 166 for 3 in 20 overs. Chitwan Rhinos scored 171 for 6 in 19.1 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: KY 51/0, CR 41/2. After 10 overs: KY 72/1, CR 69/3. The most expensive over was over 9 of CR, with 17 runs.

Win probability

Each side's chance of winning after every ball.

Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.

At the innings break

At the innings break: Karnali Yaks 56%, Chitwan Rhinos 44%. Karnali Yaks were ahead.

Win probability: Karnali Yaks against Chitwan Rhinos, ball by ballKarnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, was 56% at the innings break, rose to 72% 4.5 overs into the chase, fell to 5% 18.5 overs into the chase. Chitwan Rhinos won by 4 wickets.
  • Wicket
  • 50%: even

Karnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, was 56% at the innings break, rose to 72% 4.5 overs into the chase, fell to 5% 18.5 overs into the chase. Chitwan Rhinos won by 4 wickets.

Turning points

  1. Ball 3.6 of the chaseDev Khanal out (run out)KY 56% to 70%
  2. Ball 9.2 of the chaseDeepak Bohara out (caught)KY 53% to 66%
  3. Ball 13.3 of the chaseKushal Malla out (caught)KY 49% to 62%

How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.

How good is it?

We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.

Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
OverKYCR
First innings: Karnali Yaks batting
147%53%
254%46%
354%46%
460%40%
566%34%
665%35%
763%37%
862%38%
953%47%
1057%43%
1161%39%
1260%40%
1358%42%
1454%46%
1561%39%
1659%41%
1756%44%
1854%46%
1956%44%
2056%44%
Second innings: Chitwan Rhinos chasing
152%48%
251%49%
349%51%
470%30%
572%28%
666%34%
767%33%
867%33%
952%48%
1068%32%
1161%39%
1253%47%
1347%53%
1462%38%
1546%54%
1647%53%
1729%71%
1816%84%
197%93%
200%100%

Worm

Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.

Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • KY 166/3 (20 ov)
  • CR 171/6 (19.1 ov)
  • Wicket
Worm chart: runs by over, KY and CRKarnali Yaks reached 166 for 3 after 20.0 overs. Chitwan Rhinos reached 171 for 6 after 19.1 overs.
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
OverKYCR
15/09/0
217/015/0
322/022/0
433/029/2 (2 W)
546/031/2
651/041/2
754/045/2
859/050/2
961/1 (1 W)67/2
1072/169/3 (1 W)
1184/179/3
1290/190/3
1396/1100/3
14100/1104/4 (1 W)
15116/1118/4
16124/2 (1 W)125/4
17130/2140/4
18139/2154/5 (1 W)
19153/3 (1 W)165/6 (1 W)
20166/3171/6

Manhattan

Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.

Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • KY Karnali Yaks
  • CR Chitwan Rhinos
  • Wicket in the over
Manhattan chart: runs in each over, KY and CRKarnali Yaks: highest over 16 runs in over 15, 3 wickets. Chitwan Rhinos: highest over 17 runs in over 9, 6 wickets.
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
OverKY runsKY wicketsCR runsCR wickets
15090
212060
35070
411072
513020
650100
73040
85050
921170
1011021
11120100
1260110
1360100
144041
15160140
168170
1760150
1890141
19141111
2013060

Run rate

Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.

Run rate chart. A data table follows.
  • KY run rate
  • CR run rate
  • CR required rate
Run rate chart: runs per over, KY and CR, and CR's required rateKarnali Yaks finished at 8.30 an over. Chitwan Rhinos finished at 8.92 an over. Chitwan Rhinos needed 8.35 an over at the start of the chase.
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
OverKY run rateCR run rateCR required
Start––8.35
15.009.008.32
28.507.508.44
37.337.338.53
48.257.258.63
59.206.209.07
68.506.839.00
77.716.439.38
87.386.259.75
96.787.449.09
107.206.909.80
117.647.189.78
127.507.509.63
137.387.699.57
147.147.4310.50
157.737.879.80
167.757.8110.50
177.658.249.00
187.728.566.50
198.058.682.00
208.308.92–

Partnerships

Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.

Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.

Karnali Yaks1st innings

  1. 1st wkt61 runs from 53 balls
    Priyank Panchal40 runs from 23 ballsMax O'Dowd20 runs from 30 balls
    Extras 1.
  2. 2nd wkt63 runs from 41 balls
    Priyank Panchal50 runs from 25 ballsMark Watt10 runs from 16 balls
    Extras 3.
  3. 3rd wkt16 runs from 16 balls
    Mark Watt6 runs from 5 ballsPawan Sarraf5 runs from 11 balls
    Extras 5.
  4. 4th wkt26 runs from 10 balls, unbroken
    Pawan Sarraf22 runs from 5 ballsNajibullah Zadran4 runs from 5 balls

Chitwan Rhinos2nd innings

  1. 1st wkt22 runs from 19 balls
    Deepak Bohara14 runs from 13 ballsDawid Malan6 runs from 6 balls
    Extras 2.
  2. 2nd wkt7 runs from 5 balls
    Deepak Bohara5 runs from 3 ballsDev Khanal2 runs from 2 balls
  3. 3rd wkt38 runs from 32 balls
    Deepak Bohara23 runs from 20 ballsRavi Bopara15 runs from 12 balls
  4. 4th wkt34 runs from 25 balls
    Ravi Bopara14 runs from 10 ballsKushal Malla20 runs from 15 balls
  5. 5th wkt52 runs from 25 balls
    Ravi Bopara13 runs from 9 ballsSaif Zaib38 runs from 16 balls
    Extras 1.
  6. 6th wkt12 runs from 8 balls
    Ravi Bopara10 runs from 5 ballsArjun Saud2 runs from 3 balls
  7. 7th wkt6 runs from 1 balls, unbroken
    Arjun Saud6 runs from 1 ballsSohail Tanvir0 runs from 0 balls

Karnali Yaks: best stand 63 for the 2nd wicket, Priyank Panchal and Mark Watt. Chitwan Rhinos: best stand 52 for the 5th wicket, Ravi Bopara and Saif Zaib.