Himal Cricket
NPL 2025 · Match 7Result

Lumbini Lions v Karnali Yaks

Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur

Karnali Yaks won by 9 wickets

Karnali Yaks won the toss and chose to bowl.

Player of the matchMark Watt

Karnali Yaks (161/1) beat Lumbini Lions (156/8) by 9 wickets in Match 7 of Nepal Premier League 2025 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Sat 22 Nov 2025. Mark Watt top-scored with 114 off 44 balls and was player of the match, and Nandan Yadav took 2/38.

Updated

Lumbini Lions scored 156 for 8 in 20 overs. Karnali Yaks scored 161 for 1 in 12.2 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: LL 36/1, KY 63/1. After 10 overs: LL 59/3, KY 129/1. The most expensive over was over 10 of KY, with 27 runs.

Win probability

Each side's chance of winning after every ball.

Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.

At the innings break

At the innings break: Lumbini Lions 47%, Karnali Yaks 53%. Karnali Yaks were ahead.

Win probability: Lumbini Lions against Karnali Yaks, ball by ballLumbini Lions' chance of winning started at 47%, was 47% at the innings break, fell to 0% 12.1 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 9 wickets.
  • Wicket
  • 50%: even

Lumbini Lions' chance of winning started at 47%, was 47% at the innings break, fell to 0% 12.1 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 9 wickets.

Turning points

  1. Ball 1.3 of the first inningsSundeep Jora out (caught)KY 58% to 68%
  2. Ball 7.6 of the first inningsDilip Nath out (caught and bowled)KY 61% to 69%
  3. Ball 3.5 of the chasePriyank Panchal out (caught)LL 27% to 36%

How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.

How good is it?

We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.

Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
OverLLKY
First innings: Lumbini Lions batting
144%56%
231%69%
331%69%
428%72%
534%66%
645%55%
739%61%
831%69%
936%64%
1034%66%
1125%75%
1226%74%
1329%71%
1423%77%
1526%74%
1631%69%
1737%63%
1839%61%
1939%61%
2047%53%
Second innings: Karnali Yaks chasing
148%52%
236%64%
328%72%
430%70%
526%74%
621%79%
715%85%
810%90%
95%95%
101%99%
110%100%
120%100%
130%100%

Worm

Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.

Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • LL 156/8 (20 ov)
  • KY 161/1 (12.2 ov)
  • Wicket
Worm chart: runs by over, LL and KYLumbini Lions reached 156 for 8 after 20.0 overs. Karnali Yaks reached 161 for 1 after 12.2 overs.
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
OverLLKY
11/03/0
22/1 (1 W)20/0
36/134/0
47/144/1 (1 W)
518/153/1
636/163/1
742/2 (1 W)75/1
846/3 (1 W)86/1
956/3102/1
1059/3129/1
1161/4 (1 W)140/1
1266/4149/1
1375/4161/1
1479/5 (1 W)–
1588/5–
16101/5–
17118/6 (1 W)–
18130/7 (1 W)–
19139/8 (1 W)–
20156/8–

Manhattan

Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.

Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • LL Lumbini Lions
  • KY Karnali Yaks
  • Wicket in the over
Manhattan chart: runs in each over, LL and KYLumbini Lions: highest over 18 runs in over 6, 8 wickets. Karnali Yaks: highest over 27 runs in over 10, 1 wickets.
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
OverLL runsLL wicketsKY runsKY wickets
11030
211170
340140
410101
511090
6180100
761120
841110
9100160
1030270
1121110
125090
1390120
1441––
1590––
16130––
17171––
18121––
1991––
20170––

Run rate

Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.

Run rate chart. A data table follows.
  • LL run rate
  • KY run rate
  • KY required rate
Run rate chart: runs per over, LL and KY, and KY's required rateLumbini Lions finished at 7.80 an over. Karnali Yaks finished at 13.05 an over. Karnali Yaks needed 7.85 an over at the start of the chase.
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
OverLL run rateKY run rateKY required
Start––7.85
11.003.008.11
21.0010.007.61
32.0011.337.24
41.7511.007.06
53.6010.606.93
66.0010.506.71
76.0010.716.31
85.7510.755.92
96.2211.335.00
105.9012.902.80
115.5512.731.89
125.5012.421.00
135.7713.05–
145.64––
155.87––
166.31––
176.94––
187.22––
197.32––
207.80––

Partnerships

Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.

Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.

Lumbini Lions1st innings

  1. 1st wkt1 runs from 9 balls
    Sundeep Jora1 runs from 8 ballsD'Arcy Short0 runs from 1 balls
  2. 2nd wkt36 runs from 31 balls
    D'Arcy Short19 runs from 13 ballsRohit Paudel17 runs from 18 balls
  3. 3rd wkt9 runs from 8 balls
    Rohit Paudel3 runs from 4 ballsDilip Nath6 runs from 4 balls
  4. 4th wkt15 runs from 16 balls
    Rohit Paudel8 runs from 7 ballsGulbadin Naib7 runs from 9 balls
  5. 5th wkt17 runs from 18 balls
    Rohit Paudel12 runs from 8 ballsSumit Maharjan4 runs from 10 balls
    Extras 1.
  6. 6th wkt35 runs from 18 balls
    Rohit Paudel9 runs from 6 ballsJJ Smit21 runs from 12 balls
    Extras 5.
  7. 7th wkt17 runs from 8 balls
    JJ Smit2 runs from 2 ballsRuben Trumpelmann11 runs from 6 balls
    Extras 4.
  8. 8th wkt2 runs from 4 balls
    Ruben Trumpelmann1 runs from 2 ballsSameer Ali1 runs from 2 balls
  9. 9th wkt24 runs from 8 balls, unbroken
    Ruben Trumpelmann17 runs from 6 ballsSher Malla7 runs from 2 balls

Karnali Yaks2nd innings

  1. 1st wkt38 runs from 23 balls
    Priyank Panchal12 runs from 10 ballsMark Watt21 runs from 13 balls
    Extras 5.
  2. 2nd wkt123 runs from 51 balls, unbroken
    Mark Watt93 runs from 31 ballsWill Bosisto29 runs from 20 balls
    Extras 1.

Lumbini Lions: best stand 36 for the 2nd wicket, D'Arcy Short and Rohit Paudel. Karnali Yaks: best stand 123 for the 2nd wicket, Mark Watt and Will Bosisto.