Karnali Yaks (161/1) beat Lumbini Lions (156/8) by 9 wickets in Match 7 of Nepal Premier League 2025 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Sat 22 Nov 2025. Mark Watt top-scored with 114 off 44 balls and was player of the match, and Nandan Yadav took 2/38.
Updated
LL156/8(20)KY161/1(12.2)
Result
Karnali Yaks won by 9 wickets
Ball-by-ball commentary
Newest ball first, with a summary after every over.
Result
Karnali Yaks finish on 161/1 from 12.2 overs. Karnali Yaks won by 9 wickets. Player of the match: Mark Watt.
12.26
Six. Short to Watt, SIX,Watt hits a six. Back-to-back sixes! That's Watt's 12th six. That wins it for Karnali, with 46 balls left.
12.16
Six. Short to Watt, SIX,big hit from Watt. 150 up for Karnali. Karnali need just 2 more.
* Unbroken. Extras are part of the stand but not of either batter's runs.
Lumbini Lions scored 156 for 8 in 20 overs. Karnali Yaks scored 161 for 1 in 12.2 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: LL 36/1, KY 63/1. After 10 overs: LL 59/3, KY 129/1. The most expensive over was over 10 of KY, with 27 runs.
Win probability
Each side's chance of winning after every ball.
Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.
At the innings break: Lumbini Lions 47%, Karnali Yaks 53%. Karnali Yaks were ahead.
100%50%100%
LL aheadKY ahead
051015205101520
overs
LL battingKY chasing
Wicket
50%: even
Lumbini Lions' chance of winning started at 47%, was 47% at the innings break, fell to 0% 12.1 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 9 wickets.
Turning points
Ball 1.3 of the first inningsSundeep Jora out (caught)KY 58% → to 68%
Ball 7.6 of the first inningsDilip Nath out (caught and bowled)KY 61% → to 69%
Ball 3.5 of the chasePriyank Panchal out (caught)LL 27% → to 36%
How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.
How good is it?
We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.
Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
Over
LL
KY
First innings: Lumbini Lions batting
1
44%
56%
2
31%
69%
3
31%
69%
4
28%
72%
5
34%
66%
6
45%
55%
7
39%
61%
8
31%
69%
9
36%
64%
10
34%
66%
11
25%
75%
12
26%
74%
13
29%
71%
14
23%
77%
15
26%
74%
16
31%
69%
17
37%
63%
18
39%
61%
19
39%
61%
20
47%
53%
Second innings: Karnali Yaks chasing
1
48%
52%
2
36%
64%
3
28%
72%
4
30%
70%
5
26%
74%
6
21%
79%
7
15%
85%
8
10%
90%
9
5%
95%
10
1%
99%
11
0%
100%
12
0%
100%
13
0%
100%
Worm
Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.
Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
LL 156/8 (20 ov)
KY 161/1 (12.2 ov)
WWicket
050100150200
Target 157WWWWWWWWW
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
Over
LL
KY
1
1/0
3/0
2
2/1 (1 W)
20/0
3
6/1
34/0
4
7/1
44/1 (1 W)
5
18/1
53/1
6
36/1
63/1
7
42/2 (1 W)
75/1
8
46/3 (1 W)
86/1
9
56/3
102/1
10
59/3
129/1
11
61/4 (1 W)
140/1
12
66/4
149/1
13
75/4
161/1
14
79/5 (1 W)
–
15
88/5
–
16
101/5
–
17
118/6 (1 W)
–
18
130/7 (1 W)
–
19
139/8 (1 W)
–
20
156/8
–
Manhattan
Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.
Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
LL Lumbini Lions
KY Karnali Yaks
WWicket in the over
0102030
WWWWWWWWW
5101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
Over
LL runs
LL wickets
KY runs
KY wickets
1
1
0
3
0
2
1
1
17
0
3
4
0
14
0
4
1
0
10
1
5
11
0
9
0
6
18
0
10
0
7
6
1
12
0
8
4
1
11
0
9
10
0
16
0
10
3
0
27
0
11
2
1
11
0
12
5
0
9
0
13
9
0
12
0
14
4
1
–
–
15
9
0
–
–
16
13
0
–
–
17
17
1
–
–
18
12
1
–
–
19
9
1
–
–
20
17
0
–
–
Run rate
Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.
Run rate chart. A data table follows.
LL run rate
KY run rate
KY required rate
051015
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
Over
LL run rate
KY run rate
KY required
Start
–
–
7.85
1
1.00
3.00
8.11
2
1.00
10.00
7.61
3
2.00
11.33
7.24
4
1.75
11.00
7.06
5
3.60
10.60
6.93
6
6.00
10.50
6.71
7
6.00
10.71
6.31
8
5.75
10.75
5.92
9
6.22
11.33
5.00
10
5.90
12.90
2.80
11
5.55
12.73
1.89
12
5.50
12.42
1.00
13
5.77
13.05
–
14
5.64
–
–
15
5.87
–
–
16
6.31
–
–
17
6.94
–
–
18
7.22
–
–
19
7.32
–
–
20
7.80
–
–
Partnerships
Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.
Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.
Lumbini Lions: best stand 36 for the 2nd wicket, D'Arcy Short and Rohit Paudel. Karnali Yaks: best stand 123 for the 2nd wicket, Mark Watt and Will Bosisto.
Ball-by-ball data from Cricsheet, licensed under the Open Data Commons Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0). Cricsheet is at cricsheet.org, and the licence is at opendatacommons.org.