Himal Cricket
NPL 2024 · Eliminator · KY v CRResult

Karnali Yaks v Chitwan Rhinos

Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur

Karnali Yaks won by 21 runs

Chitwan Rhinos won the toss and chose to bowl.

Player of the matchChadwick Walton

Karnali Yaks (175/6) beat Chitwan Rhinos (154/9) by 21 runs in Eliminator of Nepal Premier League 2024 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Wed 18 Dec 2024. Ravi Bopara top-scored with 53 off 34 balls, Zeeshan Maqsood took 3/26 and Chadwick Walton was player of the match.

Updated

Karnali Yaks scored 175 for 6 in 20 overs. Chitwan Rhinos scored 154 for 9 in 20 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: KY 49/2, CR 47/3. After 10 overs: KY 79/2, CR 81/3. The most expensive over was over 18 of KY, with 20 runs.

Win probability

Each side's chance of winning after every ball.

Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.

At the innings break

At the innings break: Karnali Yaks 64%, Chitwan Rhinos 36%. Karnali Yaks were ahead.

Win probability: Karnali Yaks against Chitwan Rhinos, ball by ballKarnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, fell to 36% 2.3 overs into the first innings, was 64% at the innings break, rose to 100% 19.5 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 21 runs.
  • Wicket
  • 50%: even

Karnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, fell to 36% 2.3 overs into the first innings, was 64% at the innings break, rose to 100% 19.5 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 21 runs.

Turning points

  1. Ball 2.4 of the chaseBipin Rawal out (caught)KY 64% to 78%
  2. Ball 5.5 of the chaseLuc Benkenstein out (bowled)KY 68% to 81%
  3. Ball 10.5 of the chaseKushal Malla out (bowled)KY 66% to 81%

How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.

How good is it?

We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.

Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
OverKYCR
First innings: Karnali Yaks batting
148%52%
237%63%
340%60%
444%56%
540%60%
649%51%
752%48%
852%48%
959%41%
1059%41%
1157%43%
1258%42%
1351%49%
1448%52%
1558%42%
1658%42%
1764%36%
1873%27%
1968%32%
2064%36%
Second innings: Chitwan Rhinos chasing
174%26%
269%31%
378%22%
476%24%
572%28%
682%18%
780%20%
879%21%
978%22%
1064%36%
1178%22%
1274%26%
1375%25%
1477%23%
1578%22%
1696%4%
1794%6%
1899%1%
19100%0%
20100%0%

Worm

Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.

Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • KY 175/6 (20 ov)
  • CR 154/9 (20 ov)
  • Wicket
Worm chart: runs by over, KY and CRKarnali Yaks reached 175 for 6 after 20.0 overs. Chitwan Rhinos reached 154 for 9 after 20.0 overs.
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
OverKYCR
16/07/1 (1 W)
29/1 (1 W)17/1
316/125/2 (1 W)
425/132/2
535/2 (1 W)40/2
649/247/3 (1 W)
756/253/3
861/259/3
974/265/3
1079/281/3
1183/286/4 (1 W)
1290/294/4
1394/3 (1 W)99/4
14102/4 (1 W)105/4
15120/4112/4
16127/4118/6 (2 W)
17142/4129/6
18162/4140/8 (2 W)
19168/5 (1 W)147/8
20175/6 (1 W)154/9 (1 W)

Manhattan

Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.

Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • KY Karnali Yaks
  • CR Chitwan Rhinos
  • Wicket in the over
Manhattan chart: runs in each over, KY and CRKarnali Yaks: highest over 20 runs in over 18, 6 wickets. Chitwan Rhinos: highest over 16 runs in over 10, 9 wickets.
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
OverKY runsKY wicketsCR runsCR wickets
16071
231100
37081
49070
510180
614071
77060
85060
913060
1050160
114051
127080
134150
148160
1518070
167062
17150110
18200112
196170
207171

Run rate

Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.

Run rate chart. A data table follows.
  • KY run rate
  • CR run rate
  • CR required rate
Run rate chart: runs per over, KY and CR, and CR's required rateKarnali Yaks finished at 8.75 an over. Chitwan Rhinos finished at 7.70 an over. Chitwan Rhinos needed 8.80 an over at the start of the chase.
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
OverKY run rateCR run rateCR required
Start––8.80
16.007.008.89
24.508.508.83
35.338.338.88
46.258.009.00
57.008.009.07
68.177.839.21
78.007.579.46
87.637.389.75
98.227.2210.09
107.908.109.50
117.557.8210.00
127.507.8310.25
137.237.6211.00
147.297.5011.83
158.007.4712.80
167.947.3814.50
178.357.5915.67
189.007.7818.00
198.847.7429.00
208.757.70–

Partnerships

Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.

Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.

Karnali Yaks1st innings

  1. 1st wkt6 runs from 7 balls
    Jaykishan Kolsawala6 runs from 6 ballsRit Gautam0 runs from 1 balls
  2. 2nd wkt29 runs from 23 balls
    Jaykishan Kolsawala15 runs from 11 ballsZeeshan Maqsood14 runs from 12 balls
  3. 3rd wkt59 runs from 46 balls
    Jaykishan Kolsawala32 runs from 22 ballsWill Bosisto27 runs from 24 balls
  4. 4th wkt3 runs from 6 balls
    Will Bosisto1 runs from 3 ballsGulshan Jha0 runs from 3 balls
    Extras 2.
  5. 5th wkt67 runs from 28 balls
    Will Bosisto24 runs from 12 ballsChadwick Walton41 runs from 17 balls
    Extras 2.
  6. 6th wkt10 runs from 8 balls
    Chadwick Walton5 runs from 5 ballsDev Khanal3 runs from 3 balls
    Extras 2.
  7. 7th wkt1 runs from 2 balls, unbroken
    Chadwick Walton0 runs from 1 ballsSompal Kami0 runs from 1 balls
    Extras 1.

Chitwan Rhinos2nd innings

  1. 1st wkt7 runs from 5 balls
    Hassan Eisakhil1 runs from 2 ballsBipin Rawal5 runs from 3 balls
    Extras 1.
  2. 2nd wkt17 runs from 11 balls
    Bipin Rawal13 runs from 7 ballsLuc Benkenstein4 runs from 4 balls
  3. 3rd wkt23 runs from 19 balls
    Luc Benkenstein12 runs from 9 ballsKushal Malla10 runs from 10 balls
    Extras 1.
  4. 4th wkt36 runs from 30 balls
    Kushal Malla11 runs from 14 ballsRavi Bopara23 runs from 16 balls
    Extras 2.
  5. 5th wkt30 runs from 27 balls
    Ravi Bopara19 runs from 12 ballsSantosh Karki8 runs from 15 balls
    Extras 3.
  6. 6th wkt4 runs from 3 balls
    Ravi Bopara0 runs from 0 ballsSohail Tanvir4 runs from 3 balls
  7. 7th wkt18 runs from 9 balls
    Ravi Bopara9 runs from 4 ballsAmar Rautela9 runs from 5 balls
  8. 8th wkt3 runs from 3 balls
    Ravi Bopara2 runs from 2 ballsSharad Vesawkar1 runs from 1 balls
  9. 9th wkt12 runs from 11 balls
    Sharad Vesawkar5 runs from 7 ballsRijan Dhakal7 runs from 4 balls
  10. 10th wkt4 runs from 2 balls, unbroken
    Sharad Vesawkar4 runs from 2 ballsRanjit Kumar0 runs from 0 balls

Karnali Yaks: best stand 67 for the 5th wicket, Will Bosisto and Chadwick Walton. Chitwan Rhinos: best stand 36 for the 4th wicket, Kushal Malla and Ravi Bopara.