Karnali Yaks (175/6) beat Chitwan Rhinos (154/9) by 21 runs in Eliminator of Nepal Premier League 2024 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Wed 18 Dec 2024. Ravi Bopara top-scored with 53 off 34 balls, Zeeshan Maqsood took 3/26 and Chadwick Walton was player of the match.
Updated
KY175/6(20)CR154/9(20)
Result
Karnali Yaks won by 21 runs
Ball-by-ball commentary
Newest ball first, with a summary after every over.
1 run. Tanvir to Walton, 1 run,Walton keeps the strike for the next over.
18.51
1 run. Tanvir to Khanal, 1 run,Khanal gets off strike.
18.42
2 runs. Tanvir to Khanal, 2 runs,two taken. Khanal gets off the mark.
18.3•
No run. Tanvir to Khanal, no run,Tanvir strings the dots together.
New batterDev Khanal is in. Batting at No. 7. Karnali 164/5 in 18.2 overs.
18.2W
Wicket. Tanvir to Bosisto, OUT! Bowled.The stumps are rattled, and Bosisto is on the way back. Good innings from Bosisto. That ends a stand of 67 off 28 balls. Tanvir has 2 for 20 from 3.2 overs.
OutWill Bosisto b Tanvir 52 (39) [4s-3 6s-2]
18.12
2 runs. Tanvir to Bosisto, 2 runs,Bosisto gets two. Tanvir starts the last of 4 overs.
* Unbroken. Extras are part of the stand but not of either batter's runs.
Karnali Yaks scored 175 for 6 in 20 overs. Chitwan Rhinos scored 154 for 9 in 20 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: KY 49/2, CR 47/3. After 10 overs: KY 79/2, CR 81/3. The most expensive over was over 18 of KY, with 20 runs.
Win probability
Each side's chance of winning after every ball.
Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.
At the innings break: Karnali Yaks 64%, Chitwan Rhinos 36%. Karnali Yaks were ahead.
100%50%100%
KY aheadCR ahead
051015205101520
overs
KY battingCR chasing
Wicket
50%: even
Karnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, fell to 36% 2.3 overs into the first innings, was 64% at the innings break, rose to 100% 19.5 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 21 runs.
Turning points
Ball 2.4 of the chaseBipin Rawal out (caught)KY 64% → to 78%
Ball 5.5 of the chaseLuc Benkenstein out (bowled)KY 68% → to 81%
Ball 10.5 of the chaseKushal Malla out (bowled)KY 66% → to 81%
How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.
How good is it?
We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.
Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
Over
KY
CR
First innings: Karnali Yaks batting
1
48%
52%
2
37%
63%
3
40%
60%
4
44%
56%
5
40%
60%
6
49%
51%
7
52%
48%
8
52%
48%
9
59%
41%
10
59%
41%
11
57%
43%
12
58%
42%
13
51%
49%
14
48%
52%
15
58%
42%
16
58%
42%
17
64%
36%
18
73%
27%
19
68%
32%
20
64%
36%
Second innings: Chitwan Rhinos chasing
1
74%
26%
2
69%
31%
3
78%
22%
4
76%
24%
5
72%
28%
6
82%
18%
7
80%
20%
8
79%
21%
9
78%
22%
10
64%
36%
11
78%
22%
12
74%
26%
13
75%
25%
14
77%
23%
15
78%
22%
16
96%
4%
17
94%
6%
18
99%
1%
19
100%
0%
20
100%
0%
Worm
Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.
Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
KY 175/6 (20 ov)
CR 154/9 (20 ov)
WWicket
050100150200
Target 176WWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
Over
KY
CR
1
6/0
7/1 (1 W)
2
9/1 (1 W)
17/1
3
16/1
25/2 (1 W)
4
25/1
32/2
5
35/2 (1 W)
40/2
6
49/2
47/3 (1 W)
7
56/2
53/3
8
61/2
59/3
9
74/2
65/3
10
79/2
81/3
11
83/2
86/4 (1 W)
12
90/2
94/4
13
94/3 (1 W)
99/4
14
102/4 (1 W)
105/4
15
120/4
112/4
16
127/4
118/6 (2 W)
17
142/4
129/6
18
162/4
140/8 (2 W)
19
168/5 (1 W)
147/8
20
175/6 (1 W)
154/9 (1 W)
Manhattan
Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.
Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
KY Karnali Yaks
CR Chitwan Rhinos
WWicket in the over
01020
WWWWWWWWWW2W2WW
5101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
Over
KY runs
KY wickets
CR runs
CR wickets
1
6
0
7
1
2
3
1
10
0
3
7
0
8
1
4
9
0
7
0
5
10
1
8
0
6
14
0
7
1
7
7
0
6
0
8
5
0
6
0
9
13
0
6
0
10
5
0
16
0
11
4
0
5
1
12
7
0
8
0
13
4
1
5
0
14
8
1
6
0
15
18
0
7
0
16
7
0
6
2
17
15
0
11
0
18
20
0
11
2
19
6
1
7
0
20
7
1
7
1
Run rate
Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.
Run rate chart. A data table follows.
KY run rate
CR run rate
CR required rate
0102030
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
Over
KY run rate
CR run rate
CR required
Start
–
–
8.80
1
6.00
7.00
8.89
2
4.50
8.50
8.83
3
5.33
8.33
8.88
4
6.25
8.00
9.00
5
7.00
8.00
9.07
6
8.17
7.83
9.21
7
8.00
7.57
9.46
8
7.63
7.38
9.75
9
8.22
7.22
10.09
10
7.90
8.10
9.50
11
7.55
7.82
10.00
12
7.50
7.83
10.25
13
7.23
7.62
11.00
14
7.29
7.50
11.83
15
8.00
7.47
12.80
16
7.94
7.38
14.50
17
8.35
7.59
15.67
18
9.00
7.78
18.00
19
8.84
7.74
29.00
20
8.75
7.70
–
Partnerships
Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.
Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.
Karnali Yaks: best stand 67 for the 5th wicket, Will Bosisto and Chadwick Walton. Chitwan Rhinos: best stand 36 for the 4th wicket, Kushal Malla and Ravi Bopara.
Ball-by-ball data from Cricsheet, licensed under the Open Data Commons Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0). Cricsheet is at cricsheet.org, and the licence is at opendatacommons.org.