Karnali Yaks (175/6) beat Chitwan Rhinos (154/9) by 21 runs in Eliminator of Nepal Premier League 2024 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Wed 18 Dec 2024. Ravi Bopara top-scored with 53 off 34 balls, Zeeshan Maqsood took 3/26 and Chadwick Walton was player of the match.
Updated
KY175/6(20)CR154/9(20)
Result
Karnali Yaks won by 21 runs
Ball-by-ball commentary
Newest ball first, with a summary after every over.
2 runs. Yadav to Dhakal, 2 runs,they run two. Now 36 off 12.
New batterRijan Dhakal is in. Batting at No. 10. Chitwan 138/8 in 17.5 overs.
17.5W
Wicket. Yadav to Bopara, OUT! Caught by Jha.Bopara has to go, and Yadav has the wicket. Good innings from Bopara. Two wickets in the over for Yadav. Yadav has 2 for 19 from 1.5 overs.
1 run. Maqsood to Rautela, 1 run,Rautela keeps the strike for the next over. Rautela is up and running.
New batterAmar Rautela comes to the crease. Batting at No. 8. Chitwan 117/6 in 15.5 overs.
15.5W
Wicket. Maqsood to Tanvir, OUT! Caught by Khanal.It goes up, and Khanal takes it. Maqsood has three now. Maqsood has two in the over. 59 to get from 25 for Chitwan, at 14.16 an over.
OutSohail Tanvir c Khanal b Maqsood 4 (3) [4s-1]
3 wicketsZeeshan Maqsood 3/25 in 3.5 overs
15.4•
No run. Maqsood to Tanvir, no run,dot ball to Tanvir.
15.34
Four. Maqsood to Tanvir, FOUR,Maqsood concedes a boundary. What a way to get off the mark. The equation is 59 from 27, a required rate of 13.11.
New batter In comes Sohail Tanvir. Batting at No. 7. Chitwan 113/5 in 15.2 overs.
15.2W
Wicket. Maqsood to Karki, OUT! Caught by Jha.Jha makes no mistake. That ends a stand of 30 off 27 balls. Maqsood now has 2 for 21. Chitwan want 63 from 28 now, 13.50 an over.
OutSantosh Karki c Jha b Maqsood 8 (15)
15.11
1 run. Maqsood to Bopara, 1 run,Karki will face the next ball. Maqsood's final over.
New batterSantosh Karki comes to the crease. Batting at No. 6. Chitwan 83/4 in 10.5 overs.
10.5W
Wicket. Sharma to Malla, OUT! Bowled.Cleaned up! The stumps are broken. Karnali break a stand of 36. Sharma has 1 for 2 from 0.5 overs. Chitwan want 93 from 55 now, 10.15 an over.
OutKushal Malla b Sharma 21 (24) [6s-1]
10.41
1 run. Sharma to Bopara, 1 run,Bopara turns the strike over.
10.3•
No run. Sharma to Bopara, no run,Sharma gets a dot in. The required rate climbs to 9.89.
10.2•
No run. Sharma to Bopara, no run,Bopara can't score off this one. Pressure on Chitwan: 9.72 an over needed now.
10.11
1 run. Sharma to Malla, 1 run,a single to keep things moving. First over for Sharma.
New bowlerBipin Sharma comes into the attack for the 11th over.
* Unbroken. Extras are part of the stand but not of either batter's runs.
Karnali Yaks scored 175 for 6 in 20 overs. Chitwan Rhinos scored 154 for 9 in 20 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: KY 49/2, CR 47/3. After 10 overs: KY 79/2, CR 81/3. The most expensive over was over 18 of KY, with 20 runs.
Win probability
Each side's chance of winning after every ball.
Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.
At the innings break: Karnali Yaks 64%, Chitwan Rhinos 36%. Karnali Yaks were ahead.
100%50%100%
KY aheadCR ahead
051015205101520
overs
KY battingCR chasing
Wicket
50%: even
Karnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, fell to 36% 2.3 overs into the first innings, was 64% at the innings break, rose to 100% 19.5 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 21 runs.
Turning points
Ball 2.4 of the chaseBipin Rawal out (caught)KY 64% → to 78%
Ball 5.5 of the chaseLuc Benkenstein out (bowled)KY 68% → to 81%
Ball 10.5 of the chaseKushal Malla out (bowled)KY 66% → to 81%
How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.
How good is it?
We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.
Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
Over
KY
CR
First innings: Karnali Yaks batting
1
48%
52%
2
37%
63%
3
40%
60%
4
44%
56%
5
40%
60%
6
49%
51%
7
52%
48%
8
52%
48%
9
59%
41%
10
59%
41%
11
57%
43%
12
58%
42%
13
51%
49%
14
48%
52%
15
58%
42%
16
58%
42%
17
64%
36%
18
73%
27%
19
68%
32%
20
64%
36%
Second innings: Chitwan Rhinos chasing
1
74%
26%
2
69%
31%
3
78%
22%
4
76%
24%
5
72%
28%
6
82%
18%
7
80%
20%
8
79%
21%
9
78%
22%
10
64%
36%
11
78%
22%
12
74%
26%
13
75%
25%
14
77%
23%
15
78%
22%
16
96%
4%
17
94%
6%
18
99%
1%
19
100%
0%
20
100%
0%
Worm
Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.
Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
KY 175/6 (20 ov)
CR 154/9 (20 ov)
WWicket
050100150200
Target 176WWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
Over
KY
CR
1
6/0
7/1 (1 W)
2
9/1 (1 W)
17/1
3
16/1
25/2 (1 W)
4
25/1
32/2
5
35/2 (1 W)
40/2
6
49/2
47/3 (1 W)
7
56/2
53/3
8
61/2
59/3
9
74/2
65/3
10
79/2
81/3
11
83/2
86/4 (1 W)
12
90/2
94/4
13
94/3 (1 W)
99/4
14
102/4 (1 W)
105/4
15
120/4
112/4
16
127/4
118/6 (2 W)
17
142/4
129/6
18
162/4
140/8 (2 W)
19
168/5 (1 W)
147/8
20
175/6 (1 W)
154/9 (1 W)
Manhattan
Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.
Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
KY Karnali Yaks
CR Chitwan Rhinos
WWicket in the over
01020
WWWWWWWWWW2W2WW
5101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
Over
KY runs
KY wickets
CR runs
CR wickets
1
6
0
7
1
2
3
1
10
0
3
7
0
8
1
4
9
0
7
0
5
10
1
8
0
6
14
0
7
1
7
7
0
6
0
8
5
0
6
0
9
13
0
6
0
10
5
0
16
0
11
4
0
5
1
12
7
0
8
0
13
4
1
5
0
14
8
1
6
0
15
18
0
7
0
16
7
0
6
2
17
15
0
11
0
18
20
0
11
2
19
6
1
7
0
20
7
1
7
1
Run rate
Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.
Run rate chart. A data table follows.
KY run rate
CR run rate
CR required rate
0102030
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
Over
KY run rate
CR run rate
CR required
Start
–
–
8.80
1
6.00
7.00
8.89
2
4.50
8.50
8.83
3
5.33
8.33
8.88
4
6.25
8.00
9.00
5
7.00
8.00
9.07
6
8.17
7.83
9.21
7
8.00
7.57
9.46
8
7.63
7.38
9.75
9
8.22
7.22
10.09
10
7.90
8.10
9.50
11
7.55
7.82
10.00
12
7.50
7.83
10.25
13
7.23
7.62
11.00
14
7.29
7.50
11.83
15
8.00
7.47
12.80
16
7.94
7.38
14.50
17
8.35
7.59
15.67
18
9.00
7.78
18.00
19
8.84
7.74
29.00
20
8.75
7.70
–
Partnerships
Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.
Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.
Karnali Yaks: best stand 67 for the 5th wicket, Will Bosisto and Chadwick Walton. Chitwan Rhinos: best stand 36 for the 4th wicket, Kushal Malla and Ravi Bopara.
Ball-by-ball data from Cricsheet, licensed under the Open Data Commons Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0). Cricsheet is at cricsheet.org, and the licence is at opendatacommons.org.