Himal Cricket
NPL 2024 · Match 22Result

Karnali Yaks v Lumbini Lions

Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur

Karnali Yaks won by 5 runs

Lumbini Lions won the toss and chose to bowl.

Player of the matchWill Bosisto

Karnali Yaks (128/8) beat Lumbini Lions (123/7) by 5 runs in Match 22 of Nepal Premier League 2024 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Fri 13 Dec 2024. Will Bosisto top-scored with 44 off 30 balls and was player of the match, and Bikash Aagri took 3/14.

Updated

Karnali Yaks scored 128 for 8 in 20 overs. Lumbini Lions scored 123 for 7 in 20 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: KY 28/1, LL 36/2. After 10 overs: KY 47/3, LL 60/3. The most expensive over was over 17 of KY, with 20 runs.

Win probability

Each side's chance of winning after every ball.

Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.

At the innings break

At the innings break: Karnali Yaks 23%, Lumbini Lions 77%. Lumbini Lions were ahead.

Win probability: Karnali Yaks against Lumbini Lions, ball by ballKarnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, was 23% at the innings break, fell to 10% 12.5 overs into the chase, rose to 89% 19.5 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 5 runs.
  • Wicket
  • 50%: even

Karnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, was 23% at the innings break, fell to 10% 12.5 overs into the chase, rose to 89% 19.5 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 5 runs.

Turning points

  1. Ball 6.6 of the chaseAshutosh Ghiraiya out (caught)KY 26% to 37%
  2. Ball 19.2 of the chaseRamon Simmonds played a dot ballKY 46% to 57%
  3. Ball 19.5 of the chaseRamon Simmonds took 1 runKY 74% to 89%

How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.

How good is it?

We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.

Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
OverKYLL
First innings: Karnali Yaks batting
146%54%
244%56%
350%50%
449%51%
544%56%
638%62%
730%70%
831%69%
932%68%
1025%75%
1118%82%
1219%81%
1322%78%
1425%75%
1525%75%
1623%77%
1731%69%
1830%70%
1930%70%
2023%77%
Second innings: Lumbini Lions chasing
126%74%
221%79%
324%76%
416%84%
525%75%
627%73%
737%63%
834%66%
931%69%
1026%74%
1116%84%
1215%85%
1310%90%
1415%85%
1530%70%
1629%71%
1722%78%
1826%74%
1937%63%
20100%0%

Worm

Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.

Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • KY 128/8 (20 ov)
  • LL 123/7 (20 ov)
  • Wicket
Worm chart: runs by over, KY and LLKarnali Yaks reached 128 for 8 after 20.0 overs. Lumbini Lions reached 123 for 7 after 20.0 overs.
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
OverKYLL
13/00/0
26/010/0
317/019/1 (1 W)
421/033/1
522/035/2 (1 W)
628/1 (1 W)36/2
732/2 (1 W)40/3 (1 W)
837/246/3
944/252/3
1047/3 (1 W)60/3
1151/4 (1 W)73/3
1256/478/3
1365/488/3
1476/492/4 (1 W)
1582/492/5 (1 W)
1686/498/5
17106/4107/5
18114/4114/6 (1 W)
19125/5 (1 W)120/7 (1 W)
20128/8 (3 W)123/7

Manhattan

Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.

Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • KY Karnali Yaks
  • LL Lumbini Lions
  • Wicket in the over
Manhattan chart: runs in each over, KY and LLKarnali Yaks: highest over 20 runs in over 17, 8 wickets. Lumbini Lions: highest over 14 runs in over 4, 7 wickets.
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
OverKY runsKY wicketsLL runsLL wickets
13000
230100
311091
440140
51021
66110
74141
85060
97060
103180
1141130
125050
1390100
1411041
156001
164060
1720090
188071
1911161
203330

Run rate

Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.

Run rate chart. A data table follows.
  • KY run rate
  • LL run rate
  • LL required rate
Run rate chart: runs per over, KY and LL, and LL's required rateKarnali Yaks finished at 6.40 an over. Lumbini Lions finished at 6.15 an over. Lumbini Lions needed 6.45 an over at the start of the chase.
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
OverKY run rateLL run rateLL required
Start––6.45
13.000.006.79
23.005.006.61
35.676.336.47
45.258.256.00
54.407.006.27
64.676.006.64
74.575.716.85
84.635.756.92
94.895.787.00
104.706.006.90
114.646.646.22
124.676.506.38
135.006.775.86
145.436.576.17
155.476.137.40
165.386.137.75
176.246.297.33
186.336.337.50
196.586.329.00
206.406.15–

Partnerships

Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.

Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.

Karnali Yaks1st innings

  1. 1st wkt22 runs from 31 balls
    Babar Hayat19 runs from 19 ballsDev Khanal3 runs from 12 balls
  2. 2nd wkt10 runs from 10 balls
    Babar Hayat1 runs from 3 ballsChadwick Walton8 runs from 7 balls
    Extras 1.
  3. 3rd wkt15 runs from 18 balls
    Chadwick Walton5 runs from 7 ballsGulshan Jha8 runs from 11 balls
    Extras 2.
  4. 4th wkt0 runs from 2 balls
    Chadwick Walton0 runs from 1 ballsWill Bosisto0 runs from 1 balls
  5. 5th wkt72 runs from 52 balls
    Will Bosisto43 runs from 27 ballsArjun Gharti25 runs from 25 balls
    Extras 4.
  6. 6th wkt8 runs from 4 balls
    Will Bosisto1 runs from 2 ballsSompal Kami7 runs from 2 balls
  7. 7th wkt1 runs from 2 balls
    Sompal Kami0 runs from 1 ballsZeeshan Maqsood1 runs from 1 balls
  8. 8th wkt0 runs from 1 balls
    Zeeshan Maqsood0 runs from 0 ballsNandan Yadav0 runs from 1 balls

Lumbini Lions2nd innings

  1. 1st wkt19 runs from 16 balls
    Ashutosh Ghiraiya6 runs from 10 ballsArjun Saud13 runs from 6 balls
  2. 2nd wkt16 runs from 14 balls
    Ashutosh Ghiraiya6 runs from 6 ballsRohit Paudel10 runs from 8 balls
  3. 3rd wkt5 runs from 12 balls
    Ashutosh Ghiraiya4 runs from 5 ballsTom Moores1 runs from 7 balls
  4. 4th wkt51 runs from 41 balls
    Tom Moores27 runs from 20 ballsSundeep Jora24 runs from 21 balls
  5. 5th wkt1 runs from 6 balls
    Tom Moores0 runs from 0 ballsBen Cutting1 runs from 6 balls
  6. 6th wkt22 runs from 18 balls
    Tom Moores8 runs from 8 ballsSaad Bin Zafar14 runs from 10 balls
  7. 7th wkt2 runs from 2 balls
    Saad Bin Zafar2 runs from 1 ballsTilak Bhandari0 runs from 1 balls
  8. 8th wkt7 runs from 11 balls, unbroken
    Tilak Bhandari3 runs from 4 ballsRamon Simmonds4 runs from 7 balls

Karnali Yaks: best stand 72 for the 5th wicket, Will Bosisto and Arjun Gharti. Lumbini Lions: best stand 51 for the 4th wicket, Tom Moores and Sundeep Jora.