Karnali Yaks (128/8) beat Lumbini Lions (123/7) by 5 runs in Match 22 of Nepal Premier League 2024 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Fri 13 Dec 2024. Will Bosisto top-scored with 44 off 30 balls and was player of the match, and Bikash Aagri took 3/14.
Updated
KY128/8(20)LL123/7(20)
Result
Karnali Yaks won by 5 runs
Ball-by-ball commentary
Newest ball first, with a summary after every over.
Wicket. Aagri to Yadav, OUT! LBW.Aagri traps Yadav in front. Aagri has three now. Aagri will be on a hat-trick. Three wickets in the over!
OutNandan Yadav lbw b Aagri 0 (1)
3 wicketsBikash Aagri 3/14 in 2 overs
New batterNandan Yadav is in. Batting at No. 9. Karnali 128/7 in 19.5 overs.
19.5W
Wicket. Aagri to Kami, OUT! Caught by Zafar.Zafar completes the catch. Aagri has two in the over. Aagri has 2 for 14 from 1.5 overs. Karnali are 128/7.
OutSompal Kami c Zafar b Aagri 7 (3) [6s-1]
19.41
1 run. Aagri to Maqsood, 1 run,a single, and the score moves on. Maqsood gets off the mark.
Six. Simmonds to Kami, SIX,that's gone. Kami gets off the mark with a boundary.
New batterSompal Kami comes to the crease. Batting at No. 7. Karnali 119/5 in 18.5 overs.
18.5W
Wicket. Simmonds to Gharti, OUT! Caught and bowled.Simmonds does it all. Lumbini break a stand of 72. Simmonds has 1 for 34 from 3.5 overs. Karnali 119/5 now.
OutArjun Gharti c & b Simmonds 25 (25) [4s-2 6s-1]
* Unbroken. Extras are part of the stand but not of either batter's runs.
Karnali Yaks scored 128 for 8 in 20 overs. Lumbini Lions scored 123 for 7 in 20 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: KY 28/1, LL 36/2. After 10 overs: KY 47/3, LL 60/3. The most expensive over was over 17 of KY, with 20 runs.
Win probability
Each side's chance of winning after every ball.
Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.
At the innings break: Karnali Yaks 23%, Lumbini Lions 77%. Lumbini Lions were ahead.
100%50%100%
KY aheadLL ahead
051015205101520
overs
KY battingLL chasing
Wicket
50%: even
Karnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, was 23% at the innings break, fell to 10% 12.5 overs into the chase, rose to 89% 19.5 overs into the chase. Karnali Yaks won by 5 runs.
Ball 19.2 of the chaseRamon Simmonds played a dot ballKY 46% → to 57%
Ball 19.5 of the chaseRamon Simmonds took 1 runKY 74% → to 89%
How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.
How good is it?
We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.
Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
Over
KY
LL
First innings: Karnali Yaks batting
1
46%
54%
2
44%
56%
3
50%
50%
4
49%
51%
5
44%
56%
6
38%
62%
7
30%
70%
8
31%
69%
9
32%
68%
10
25%
75%
11
18%
82%
12
19%
81%
13
22%
78%
14
25%
75%
15
25%
75%
16
23%
77%
17
31%
69%
18
30%
70%
19
30%
70%
20
23%
77%
Second innings: Lumbini Lions chasing
1
26%
74%
2
21%
79%
3
24%
76%
4
16%
84%
5
25%
75%
6
27%
73%
7
37%
63%
8
34%
66%
9
31%
69%
10
26%
74%
11
16%
84%
12
15%
85%
13
10%
90%
14
15%
85%
15
30%
70%
16
29%
71%
17
22%
78%
18
26%
74%
19
37%
63%
20
100%
0%
Worm
Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.
Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
KY 128/8 (20 ov)
LL 123/7 (20 ov)
WWicket
050100150
Target 129WWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
Over
KY
LL
1
3/0
0/0
2
6/0
10/0
3
17/0
19/1 (1 W)
4
21/0
33/1
5
22/0
35/2 (1 W)
6
28/1 (1 W)
36/2
7
32/2 (1 W)
40/3 (1 W)
8
37/2
46/3
9
44/2
52/3
10
47/3 (1 W)
60/3
11
51/4 (1 W)
73/3
12
56/4
78/3
13
65/4
88/3
14
76/4
92/4 (1 W)
15
82/4
92/5 (1 W)
16
86/4
98/5
17
106/4
107/5
18
114/4
114/6 (1 W)
19
125/5 (1 W)
120/7 (1 W)
20
128/8 (3 W)
123/7
Manhattan
Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.
Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
KY Karnali Yaks
LL Lumbini Lions
WWicket in the over
01020
WWWWW3WWWWWWWW
5101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
Over
KY runs
KY wickets
LL runs
LL wickets
1
3
0
0
0
2
3
0
10
0
3
11
0
9
1
4
4
0
14
0
5
1
0
2
1
6
6
1
1
0
7
4
1
4
1
8
5
0
6
0
9
7
0
6
0
10
3
1
8
0
11
4
1
13
0
12
5
0
5
0
13
9
0
10
0
14
11
0
4
1
15
6
0
0
1
16
4
0
6
0
17
20
0
9
0
18
8
0
7
1
19
11
1
6
1
20
3
3
3
0
Run rate
Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.
Run rate chart. A data table follows.
KY run rate
LL run rate
LL required rate
0510
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
Over
KY run rate
LL run rate
LL required
Start
–
–
6.45
1
3.00
0.00
6.79
2
3.00
5.00
6.61
3
5.67
6.33
6.47
4
5.25
8.25
6.00
5
4.40
7.00
6.27
6
4.67
6.00
6.64
7
4.57
5.71
6.85
8
4.63
5.75
6.92
9
4.89
5.78
7.00
10
4.70
6.00
6.90
11
4.64
6.64
6.22
12
4.67
6.50
6.38
13
5.00
6.77
5.86
14
5.43
6.57
6.17
15
5.47
6.13
7.40
16
5.38
6.13
7.75
17
6.24
6.29
7.33
18
6.33
6.33
7.50
19
6.58
6.32
9.00
20
6.40
6.15
–
Partnerships
Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.
Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.
Karnali Yaks: best stand 72 for the 5th wicket, Will Bosisto and Arjun Gharti. Lumbini Lions: best stand 51 for the 4th wicket, Tom Moores and Sundeep Jora.
Ball-by-ball data from Cricsheet, licensed under the Open Data Commons Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0). Cricsheet is at cricsheet.org, and the licence is at opendatacommons.org.