Himal Cricket
NPL 2024 · Qualifier 2Result

Karnali Yaks v Janakpur Bolts

Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur

Janakpur Bolts won by 2 wickets

Janakpur Bolts won the toss and chose to bowl.

Player of the matchJames Neesham

Janakpur Bolts (119/8) beat Karnali Yaks (118/9) by 2 wickets in Qualifier 2 of Nepal Premier League 2024 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Thu 19 Dec 2024. James Neesham top-scored with 45 off 17 balls and was player of the match, and Bipin Sharma took 3/17.

Updated

Karnali Yaks scored 118 for 9 in 20 overs. Janakpur Bolts scored 119 for 8 in 19 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: KY 44/2, JB 26/3. After 10 overs: KY 67/4, JB 41/4. The most expensive over was over 5 of KY, with 16 runs.

Win probability

Each side's chance of winning after every ball.

Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.

At the innings break

At the innings break: Karnali Yaks 17%, Janakpur Bolts 83%. Janakpur Bolts were ahead.

Win probability: Karnali Yaks against Janakpur Bolts, ball by ballKarnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, was 17% at the innings break, rose to 58% 11.0 overs into the chase, fell to 9% 18.5 overs into the chase. Janakpur Bolts won by 2 wickets.
  • Wicket
  • 50%: even

Karnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, was 17% at the innings break, rose to 58% 11.0 overs into the chase, fell to 9% 18.5 overs into the chase. Janakpur Bolts won by 2 wickets.

Turning points

  1. Ball 9.6 of the chaseAakash Tripathi out (caught)KY 37% to 53%
  2. Ball 11.6 of the chaseHarsh Thaker out (run out)KY 36% to 55%
  3. Ball 18.2 of the chaseSher Malla hit a sixJB 74% to 89%

How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.

How good is it?

We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.

Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
OverKYJB
First innings: Karnali Yaks batting
145%55%
232%68%
334%66%
442%58%
553%47%
644%56%
738%62%
841%59%
942%58%
1033%67%
1136%64%
1228%72%
1324%76%
1422%78%
1529%71%
1625%75%
1718%82%
1817%83%
1915%85%
2017%83%
Second innings: Janakpur Bolts chasing
115%85%
221%79%
334%66%
430%70%
547%53%
638%62%
740%60%
840%60%
936%64%
1053%47%
1158%42%
1255%45%
1348%52%
1438%62%
1517%83%
1632%68%
1728%72%
1830%70%
190%100%

Worm

Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.

Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • KY 118/9 (20 ov)
  • JB 119/8 (19 ov)
  • Wicket
Worm chart: runs by over, KY and JBKarnali Yaks reached 118 for 9 after 20.0 overs. Janakpur Bolts reached 119 for 8 after 19.0 overs.
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
OverKYJB
12/07/0
23/1 (1 W)9/1 (1 W)
39/110/2 (1 W)
423/116/2
539/116/3 (1 W)
644/2 (1 W)26/3
751/3 (1 W)28/3
858/331/3
963/338/3
1067/4 (1 W)41/4 (1 W)
1174/442/4
1278/5 (1 W)58/5 (1 W)
1385/6 (1 W)65/5
1486/674/5
1599/689/5
16103/7 (1 W)96/7 (2 W)
17103/8 (1 W)101/7
18104/8105/7
19107/8119/8 (1 W)
20118/9 (1 W)–

Manhattan

Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.

Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
  • KY Karnali Yaks
  • JB Janakpur Bolts
  • Wicket in the over
Manhattan chart: runs in each over, KY and JBKarnali Yaks: highest over 16 runs in over 5, 9 wickets. Janakpur Bolts: highest over 16 runs in over 12, 8 wickets.
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
OverKY runsKY wicketsJB runsJB wickets
12070
21121
36011
414060
516001
651100
77120
87030
95070
104131
117010
1241161
137170
141090
15130150
164172
170150
181040
1930141
20111––

Run rate

Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.

Run rate chart. A data table follows.
  • KY run rate
  • JB run rate
  • JB required rate
Run rate chart: runs per over, KY and JB, and JB's required rateKarnali Yaks finished at 5.90 an over. Janakpur Bolts finished at 6.26 an over. Janakpur Bolts needed 5.95 an over at the start of the chase.
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
OverKY run rateJB run rateJB required
Start––5.95
12.007.005.89
21.504.506.11
33.003.336.41
45.754.006.44
57.803.206.87
67.334.336.64
77.294.007.00
87.253.887.33
97.004.227.36
106.704.107.80
116.733.828.56
126.504.837.63
136.545.007.71
146.145.297.50
156.605.936.00
166.446.005.75
176.065.946.00
185.785.837.00
195.636.26–
205.90––

Partnerships

Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.

Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.

Karnali Yaks1st innings

  1. 1st wkt2 runs from 7 balls
    Dev Khanal1 runs from 3 ballsJaykishan Kolsawala1 runs from 4 balls
  2. 2nd wkt37 runs from 24 balls
    Dev Khanal23 runs from 17 ballsZeeshan Maqsood8 runs from 7 balls
    Extras 6.
  3. 3rd wkt10 runs from 10 balls
    Zeeshan Maqsood4 runs from 4 ballsWill Bosisto6 runs from 6 balls
  4. 4th wkt15 runs from 16 balls
    Will Bosisto8 runs from 9 ballsChadwick Walton5 runs from 7 balls
    Extras 2.
  5. 5th wkt13 runs from 14 balls
    Chadwick Walton6 runs from 6 ballsGulshan Jha7 runs from 8 balls
  6. 6th wkt2 runs from 4 balls
    Gulshan Jha0 runs from 1 ballsArjun Gharti2 runs from 3 balls
  7. 7th wkt22 runs from 17 balls
    Gulshan Jha17 runs from 9 ballsSompal Kami5 runs from 8 balls
  8. 8th wkt2 runs from 5 balls
    Gulshan Jha1 runs from 2 ballsNandan Yadav1 runs from 3 balls
  9. 9th wkt15 runs from 23 balls
    Nandan Yadav3 runs from 6 ballsUBS Thakuri12 runs from 17 balls

Janakpur Bolts2nd innings

  1. 1st wkt9 runs from 9 balls
    Shubh Kansakar3 runs from 6 ballsAasif Sheikh4 runs from 3 balls
    Extras 2.
  2. 2nd wkt0 runs from 6 balls
    Aasif Sheikh0 runs from 3 ballsLahiru Milantha0 runs from 3 balls
  3. 3rd wkt7 runs from 11 balls
    Lahiru Milantha2 runs from 6 ballsAakash Tripathi5 runs from 5 balls
  4. 4th wkt25 runs from 34 balls
    Aakash Tripathi8 runs from 15 ballsHarsh Thaker15 runs from 19 balls
    Extras 2.
  5. 5th wkt17 runs from 12 balls
    Harsh Thaker2 runs from 7 ballsJames Neesham15 runs from 5 balls
  6. 6th wkt36 runs from 21 balls
    James Neesham30 runs from 12 ballsMayan Yadav6 runs from 9 balls
  7. 7th wkt2 runs from 3 balls
    Mayan Yadav1 runs from 1 ballsMohammad Mohsin1 runs from 2 balls
  8. 8th wkt19 runs from 16 balls
    Mayan Yadav7 runs from 8 ballsSher Malla12 runs from 8 balls
  9. 9th wkt4 runs from 2 balls, unbroken
    Sher Malla4 runs from 2 ballsKishore Mahato0 runs from 0 balls

Karnali Yaks: best stand 37 for the 2nd wicket, Dev Khanal and Zeeshan Maqsood. Janakpur Bolts: best stand 36 for the 6th wicket, James Neesham and Mayan Yadav.