Janakpur Bolts (119/8) beat Karnali Yaks (118/9) by 2 wickets in Qualifier 2 of Nepal Premier League 2024 at Tribhuvan University Cricket Ground, Kirtipur on Thu 19 Dec 2024. James Neesham top-scored with 45 off 17 balls and was player of the match, and Bipin Sharma took 3/17.
Updated
KY118/9(20)JB119/8(19.0)
Result
Janakpur Bolts won by 2 wickets
Ball-by-ball commentary
Newest ball first, with a summary after every over.
No run. Mohsin to Thakuri, no run,Mohsin strings the dots together. Mohsin ends a wicket-maiden.
16.5•
No run. Mohsin to Thakuri, no run,Mohsin gives nothing away. That's six dots in a row now.
16.4•
No run. Mohsin to Thakuri, no run,no damage done. The pressure builds: five dots in a row.
16.3•
No run. Mohsin to Thakuri, no run,Mohsin gets a dot in. Four dots in a row.
16.2•
No run. Mohsin to Thakuri, no run,nothing doing for Thakuri. Three dot balls on the trot.
New batterUBS Thakuri is in. Batting at No. 10. Karnali 103/8 in 16.1 overs.
16.1W
Wicket. Mohsin to Jha, OUT! Bowled.Mohsin breaks the stumps, and Jha has to go. Mohsin is back into the attack. Mohsin's figures: 2 for 11. Karnali are 103/8.
* Unbroken. Extras are part of the stand but not of either batter's runs.
Karnali Yaks scored 118 for 9 in 20 overs. Janakpur Bolts scored 119 for 8 in 19 overs. After the 6-over powerplay: KY 44/2, JB 26/3. After 10 overs: KY 67/4, JB 41/4. The most expensive over was over 5 of KY, with 16 runs.
Win probability
Each side's chance of winning after every ball.
Win probability chart. The summary, the turning points and a data table follow.
At the innings break: Karnali Yaks 17%, Janakpur Bolts 83%. Janakpur Bolts were ahead.
100%50%100%
KY aheadJB ahead
051015205101520
overs
KY battingJB chasing
Wicket
50%: even
Karnali Yaks' chance of winning started at 47%, was 17% at the innings break, rose to 58% 11.0 overs into the chase, fell to 9% 18.5 overs into the chase. Janakpur Bolts won by 2 wickets.
Turning points
Ball 9.6 of the chaseAakash Tripathi out (caught)KY 37% → to 53%
Ball 11.6 of the chaseHarsh Thaker out (run out)KY 36% → to 55%
Ball 18.2 of the chaseSher Malla hit a sixJB 74% → to 89%
How it works: we compare the runs a side needs, or is on course for, with what T20 sides usually score from the balls and wickets they have left. It learned this from 5,585 men's T20 matches on Cricsheet.
How good is it?
We tested it on 76 NPL matches it had not learned from. The side it made favourite at the innings break won 50 of them. It knows the score, the balls and the wickets left, but nothing about the players, the pitch or the toss.
Show the data as a table
Chance of winning after each over
Over
KY
JB
First innings: Karnali Yaks batting
1
45%
55%
2
32%
68%
3
34%
66%
4
42%
58%
5
53%
47%
6
44%
56%
7
38%
62%
8
41%
59%
9
42%
58%
10
33%
67%
11
36%
64%
12
28%
72%
13
24%
76%
14
22%
78%
15
29%
71%
16
25%
75%
17
18%
82%
18
17%
83%
19
15%
85%
20
17%
83%
Second innings: Janakpur Bolts chasing
1
15%
85%
2
21%
79%
3
34%
66%
4
30%
70%
5
47%
53%
6
38%
62%
7
40%
60%
8
40%
60%
9
36%
64%
10
53%
47%
11
58%
42%
12
55%
45%
13
48%
52%
14
38%
62%
15
17%
83%
16
32%
68%
17
28%
72%
18
30%
70%
19
0%
100%
Worm
Runs scored so far, over by over. Both innings on one chart.
Worm chart. Cumulative runs by over. A text summary and a data table follow.
KY 118/9 (20 ov)
JB 119/8 (19 ov)
WWicket
0255075100125
Target 119WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Score after each over
Over
KY
JB
1
2/0
7/0
2
3/1 (1 W)
9/1 (1 W)
3
9/1
10/2 (1 W)
4
23/1
16/2
5
39/1
16/3 (1 W)
6
44/2 (1 W)
26/3
7
51/3 (1 W)
28/3
8
58/3
31/3
9
63/3
38/3
10
67/4 (1 W)
41/4 (1 W)
11
74/4
42/4
12
78/5 (1 W)
58/5 (1 W)
13
85/6 (1 W)
65/5
14
86/6
74/5
15
99/6
89/5
16
103/7 (1 W)
96/7 (2 W)
17
103/8 (1 W)
101/7
18
104/8
105/7
19
107/8
119/8 (1 W)
20
118/9 (1 W)
–
Manhattan
Runs in each over. A red W marks an over with a wicket.
Manhattan chart. Runs in each over. A text summary and a data table follow.
KY Karnali Yaks
JB Janakpur Bolts
WWicket in the over
05101520
WWWWWWWWWWWWWW2WW
5101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Runs and wickets in each over
Over
KY runs
KY wickets
JB runs
JB wickets
1
2
0
7
0
2
1
1
2
1
3
6
0
1
1
4
14
0
6
0
5
16
0
0
1
6
5
1
10
0
7
7
1
2
0
8
7
0
3
0
9
5
0
7
0
10
4
1
3
1
11
7
0
1
0
12
4
1
16
1
13
7
1
7
0
14
1
0
9
0
15
13
0
15
0
16
4
1
7
2
17
0
1
5
0
18
1
0
4
0
19
3
0
14
1
20
11
1
–
–
Run rate
Runs per over so far, after each over. In the chase, the dotted line is the rate still needed to win.
Run rate chart. A data table follows.
KY run rate
JB run rate
JB required rate
0510
05101520
overs
Show the data as a table
Run rate after each over
Over
KY run rate
JB run rate
JB required
Start
–
–
5.95
1
2.00
7.00
5.89
2
1.50
4.50
6.11
3
3.00
3.33
6.41
4
5.75
4.00
6.44
5
7.80
3.20
6.87
6
7.33
4.33
6.64
7
7.29
4.00
7.00
8
7.25
3.88
7.33
9
7.00
4.22
7.36
10
6.70
4.10
7.80
11
6.73
3.82
8.56
12
6.50
4.83
7.63
13
6.54
5.00
7.71
14
6.14
5.29
7.50
15
6.60
5.93
6.00
16
6.44
6.00
5.75
17
6.06
5.94
6.00
18
5.78
5.83
7.00
19
5.63
6.26
–
20
5.90
–
–
Partnerships
Every stand, split by each batter's runs. Balls faced are in brackets.
Partnerships of each innings, with each batter's runs and balls.
Karnali Yaks: best stand 37 for the 2nd wicket, Dev Khanal and Zeeshan Maqsood. Janakpur Bolts: best stand 36 for the 6th wicket, James Neesham and Mayan Yadav.
Ball-by-ball data from Cricsheet, licensed under the Open Data Commons Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0). Cricsheet is at cricsheet.org, and the licence is at opendatacommons.org.